Finance and Investing

Chapter 11 Might Save the Business—But Lose the Customer

As business bankruptcies increase, research by Samuel B. Antill shows the fallout many companies experience after filing and reorganizing: Customers often lose confidence in the business.

Buildings in shadow with reddish tint and blue lines.

When companies file for Chapter 11 bankruptcy, executives often focus on restructuring debt, selling assets, and negotiating in court. Yet, reorganizations often falter not because of courts or creditors, but because customers lose faith in the business.

When consumers are aware of business bankruptcies, their willingness to pay for the firm’s items drops by as much as 28%, with many people expressing concern that product quality might suffer, says research by Harvard Business School Assistant Professor Samuel B. Antill. This lack of consumer confidence can chip away at the overall value of the firm.

“Why would they care if they buy a shirt from a bankrupt firm?” Antill asks. “But it turns out people care a lot about buying a shirt from a bankrupt firm.”

As business bankruptcy filings increase by nearly 15% in 2025 compared to last year, according to the Administrative Office of the US Courts, the results cast new light on the true costs of a Chapter 11 filing.

The findings may spur executives to find alternative ways to rebuild their businesses, says Antill, who cowrote the article, “Consumer Choice and Corporate Bankruptcy,” with Boston College Assistant Professor Megan Hunter. The paper has been accepted for publication in the Journal of Finance.

Are consumers aware of bankruptcies?

Through a questionnaire and experiments, Antill and Hunter sought to test 1,749 participants’ assumptions, misconceptions, and general knowledge of the Chapter 11 process. The researchers referenced companies in Chapter 11 in 2022, the year the study was conducted, across three industries: airlines, car manufacturing, and retail stores.

We were also skeptical and thinking, do people really know about corporate bankruptcies? And the answer is absolutely yes.

There’s limited academic research on how consumers respond to Chapter 11, perhaps based on the belief that shoppers are largely unaware of such proceedings. “We were also skeptical and thinking, do people really know about corporate bankruptcies?” says Antill. “And the answer is absolutely yes.”

On average, they found that 38% of study participants knew about major bankruptcies. The awareness level depended on the industry, with consumers most likely to be aware of bankruptcy filings in retail. For example:

  • Almost 44% of survey-takers knew about typical large retail bankruptcies.

  • As many as 39% of consumers were aware of bankruptcies among major car manufacturers.

  • For major airline bankruptcies, consumer awareness reached 35%.

Consumers shy away from bankrupt firms

Antill and Hunter set out to determine how bankruptcy declarations affect consumers’ buying habits. In incentivized experiments that randomly informed consumers about a firm’s Chapter 11 reorganization, the results showed that:

  • A consumer’s willingness to pay for the firm’s products decreased by as much as 28%, suggesting that retailers might have to lower their prices to keep shoppers interested.

  • The firm’s value dropped by 12-15%.

These reactions could be enough to undermine an already-troubled company’s ability to stay afloat during reorganization—an important variable that any executive should consider before signing off on a Chapter 11, Antill says.

By the numbers

Antill and Hunter’s research found that business bankruptcy reduces the average customer’s willingness to pay for products and services by:

  • 24%
    For airlines
  • 22%
    For cars
  • 19%
    For retail

Why do consumers care?

What motivates customers to abandon a brand once a business files? Three primary beliefs surfaced in the study:

  1. Customer perks may fade. Consumers worry that a bankruptcy or liquidation could mean the end of benefits they value, such as product warranties, loyalty rewards, and return policies.

  2. Standards could erode. Consumers wonder if Chapter 11 firms may try to conserve cash by reducing their standards, drawing down inventory, or laying off employees.

  3. Quality might decline. Consumers are concerned that a bankruptcy might negatively impact a firm’s inherent quality.

Reward points and other incentives are important to building shopper loyalty—and if consumers become concerned that those points may disappear, they could shop elsewhere, Antill says.

If policymakers [and companies] could reassure consumers that a lot of firms survive bankruptcy, Chapter 11 gives firms ways to raise new liquidity, new cash. … That can improve their operations.

“People care about a future interaction with that firm because they think, if I can't build reward points with this bankrupt company and they liquidate, I'd rather start a relationship somewhere else,” Antill says.

Should companies reconsider bankruptcy?

While Antill says businesses shouldn’t avoid Chapter 11 relief altogether, he provides three pieces of advice for leaders considering bankruptcy, based on the study results:

Try to negotiate

Given that a Chapter 11 filing could lower a firm’s value, executives should search for alternative rescue strategies, such as restructuring debt, selling assets, or finding new financial partners.

“The firm could go to its lenders and say, look, let's cut a deal out of court so we don't have to end up in a bankruptcy that will destroy value,” Antill says.

Think carefully about using debt

Using debt might bring significant tax advantages, but it comes with a risk of losing customers in bankruptcy.

“For example, there’s leveraged buyouts, where firms acquire other firms by taking on a lot of debt,” says Antill. “Acquirers in these situations might want to reconsider the risks of high leverage.”

Ease consumers’ concerns

“If policymakers [and companies] could reassure consumers that a lot of firms survive bankruptcy, Chapter 11 gives firms ways to raise new liquidity, new cash. … That can improve their operations.”

Image created for HBSWK with asset from Unsplash/Mak.

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Consumer Choice and Corporate Bankruptcy

Antill, Samuel, and Megan Hunter. "Consumer Choice and Corporate Bankruptcy." Journal of Finance (forthcoming).

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